The volatility of recent markets forces us to remind HP employees to be proactive about portfolio management,' says Michael Corgiat, a financial expert with the Retirement Group. Regular portfolio reviews and rebalancing could protect retirement savings against sudden market downturns and help you stay on track with your long-term financial goals,' he added.
With all the volatility in the markets, HP employees need to create a resilient investment strategy, says Brent Wolf of the Retirement Group. A diversified portfolio that can ride economic cycles is essential for retirement financial security,' said Dr.
In this article we will discuss:
1. Market Volatility and Retirement Savings: Market fluctuations and how they affect retirement income challenge retirees. Factors
2. driving Market Volatility in 2021 & 2022: Exploring how the pandemic, economic policies and global events shaped market
3. changes. Strategies for Investors During Volatility: Advice on diversification and holding investment strategies during turbulent times.
Several studies suggest that extreme market volatility may be especially difficult for retirees or those approaching retirement age to recover from possible losses. According to a report in October 2021 from Fidelity Investments, market volatility could wipe out retirement savings of up to 26% for those in their 60s. That underscores the need for a diversified investment portfolio and a solid retirement plan that reflects possible market volatility.
During the extremely volatile first 100 trading days of 2022, the constituent equities of the S&P 500 continued to fall, and the benchmark index entered a bear market on June 13, 2022 - a decline of at least 20% in stock prices. The S&P 500 was down 21.8% from its January 3 peak and the tech-heavy NASDAQ, already in bear territory, was down 32.7% from its November 19, 2021 zenith.
Some investors nervous about the future of their portfolios seem to have gone defensive and sold riskier assets like growth-oriented technology stocks.
What drives market volatility? In 2021, companies throughout the US, including HP, dealt with unpredictable demand shifts and supply shocks from the pandemic. Near zero interest rates and trillions in pandemic relief bolstered consumer spending, economic growth and record corporate profits. Profits from S&P 500 companies in 2021 were 75% higher than in 2020 and 33% higher than in 2019 - a nearly 29% total market return. (3-4)
In early 2022, however, investors feared that a planned loosening of monetary policy - meant to cool stubbornly high inflation - would choke economic growth and cause a recession. Demand, supply-chain issues and a labor shortage in the spring of 2021 drove prices up and wages went up. China's COVID-19 lockdowns impacted product supplies in the first quarter of 2022 and Russia's invasion of Ukraine pushed already high world food and fuel prices skyrocketing. May 2022 saw the fastest annual rate of increase in forty years, 8.6% (5).
The seemingly unstoppable acceleration of price increases puts pressure on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which meets June 14 and 15, to act aggressively against inflation. In May, the federal Open Market Committee raised the benchmark Federal funds rate by 0.5% (from 0.75-1.0%). That's the first half-percent increase since May 2000 and Fed forecasters expect more. (6)
High interest rate bond yields rise and higher returns from lower-risk bond investments make higher-risk stock investments less attractive. Stock investors also buy a component of a company's future cash flows that lose value in an inflationary environment. Higher financing costs may also depress the purchasing power of consumers and profits of debt-intensive businesses.
The downside of domination The S&P Information Technology Sector Index has fallen 29.2% more than the S&P 500 as a whole from its January 3 peak. Also, like most benchmarks, the S&P 500 is weighted by market capitalization - the value of a company's outstanding shares. This gives the largest companies - mostly technology - a disproportionate drag on index performance. As at May 31 the information technology sector had 27.1% of the market capitalization of the S&P 500, followed by 14.4% for health care and 11.2% for financials, the next two largest sectors. The four most valuable companies are Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet & Amazon; Nvidia is ranked ninth while Meta dropped to 11. (7)
The past few years saw tech stock gains lift the market. However, falling share prices of these companies dragged down broader stock indexes. In analyzing market data through May 17, just eight of the largest U.S. companies accounted for 46% of the 2022 losses (total return) of the S&P 500. (8)
Those famous technology companies have grown into huge multinational corporations affecting every day life. Some companies are so dominant in their fields - social media, smartphones, online search and advertising, e-commerce and cloud computing - that antitrust investigations and calls for tougher rules have been made in the US and abroad. And they do have plenty of cash on board to help them weather an economic slowdown better than their smaller rivals (8).
Takeaways for investors Stocks are often spread across the eleven S&P 500 sectors. Yet a once-diversified stock portfolio can become overly concentrated in a sector that has outperformed the market as a whole over time. TECH-sector equities posted huge total returns of about 50% for 2019, 44% for 2020 and 35% for 2021; therefore, some HP employees and retirees may wish to rebalance if they are overexposed to this volatile sector. This involves selling some investments to buy others. Remember that the sale of investments from a taxable account may be taxed. (10)
Should you feel lost after more than five months of market volatility? our HP clients should get perspective. Several market analysts see recent price declines as a painful but long overdue repricing of equities at overpriced valuations and a reality check from dwindling growth expectations. That ratio of forward price to earnings (P/E) ratio of S&P 500 companies fell from 23.3 at the end of 2021 to 17.8 in May 2022, closer to the 10-year average of 16.9.11-12.
It could be some time before investors can assess how the economy and corporate profits will fare with rising inflation and higher borrowing costs - and the stock market does not like uncertainty. Downward economic data and company earnings reports could fuel volatility in the months to come.
If you have a sufficiently diversified, all-weather investment strategy, sticking with it is often the best course of action amid grim headlines. When the market goes down, panic and leave it - you can't profit from its upswings. And if you still invest regularly to fund a long-term goal like retirement, a market decline could let you buy additional shares at a discount.
Stocks' return and principal value vary depending on market conditions. If sold, shares might fetch more or less than their original price. Investments that seek greater return usually involve greater risk. We recommend diversification as a risk management technique to our HP clients. But that does not mean diversification guarantees a profit or protects against investment loss for HP employees. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of stocks representative of the U.S. stock market in general. An unmanaged index does not represent any investment performance.
No one can own an index directly. The past does not predict future performance. The real results will differ. Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee or prevent a profit or loss. These programs involve ongoing investments in securities irrespective of price movements. HP employees and retirees should ask themselves whether they can afford to keep buying during low and high prices. But this may be a good way for investors to get shares to fund long-term goals.
A stock market investment is like planting a tree in your backyard. Just as you choose the location, type of tree, and soil conditions for your tree, you choose your investment strategy, stocks, and market conditions. And you also need to water and fertilize your investment just as you would your tree. With patience and an investment that grows over time, you can enjoy a healthy tree that produces shade and fruit for many years to come, just as your investment can provide retirement for you and your family.
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Sources:
1. 'Market Volatility - Fidelity Can Help.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/misc/buffers/market-volatility.shtml .
2. Lannan, Kelly. 'Fidelity® Q3 2021 Retirement Analysis: Retirement Savers 'Stay the Course' in Spite of Stock Market Swings and Ongoing Economic Uncertainty.' Business Wire , 2021, www.businesswire.com/news/home/20211011005389/en/Fidelity%C2%AE-Q3-2021-Retirement-Analysis-Retirement-Savers-%E2%80%9CStay-the-Course%E2%80%9D-in-Spite-of-Stock-Market-Swings-and-Ongoing-Economic-Uncertainty .
3. Barry, Kevin. '401k Savers 'Stay the Course' Despite Market Volatility.' 401k Specialist Magazine , 2022, www.401kspecialistmag.com/401k-savers-stay-the-course-despite-market-volatility/ .
4. 'Retiring in a Recession, Downturn, or Period of Market Volatility? Things to Consider.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/retiring-in-a-recession .
5. 'Fidelity® Q3 2021 Retirement Analysis: Retirement Savers 'Stay the Course' in Spite of Stock Market Swings and Ongoing Economic Uncertainty.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/q3-2021-retirement-analysis .
How does HP Inc. ensure that the pension plan benefits will remain stable and secure for employees in the future, and what measures are being implemented to mitigate financial volatility associated with these benefits? Employees of HP Inc. should be particularly aware of how the transition of their pension payments to Prudential will affect their financial security and what protections are in place to ensure that these payments are maintained without disruption.
HP Inc. ensures pension plan benefits remain stable and secure by transferring the payment obligations to Prudential, a highly-rated insurance company selected through a careful review by an Independent Fiduciary. This move is aimed at reducing financial volatility associated with HP's pension obligations while maintaining the same benefit amount for retirees. Prudential's established financial stability provides additional security to employees(HP Inc_November 1 2021_…).
What specific details can HP Inc. employees expect to learn in the Welcome Kit from Prudential, and how will these details help them understand their new payment system? HP Inc. pension participants will need to familiarize themselves with the information outlined in the Welcome Kit to make informed decisions regarding their pension benefits going forward.
The Welcome Kit from Prudential will provide HP Inc. employees with instructions to set up an online account, along with details on managing payments, tax withholdings, and other resources. This information will allow employees to familiarize themselves with Prudential’s system and ensure a seamless transition without disruptions(HP Inc_November 1 2021_…).
In what ways does the selection process for Prudential as the insurance provider reflect the commitment of HP Inc. to the well-being of its employees? Understanding the rationale behind this decision will give HP Inc. employees insights into the fiduciary responsibilities and governance processes that protect their retirement benefits.
The selection of Prudential reflects HP Inc.'s commitment to employee well-being, as it involved the Independent Fiduciary conducting an extensive review of insurance providers. Prudential was chosen based on its financial strength and ability to manage pension payments securely, showing HP's focus on protecting retirement benefits(HP Inc_November 1 2021_…).
How will the annuity payments from Prudential differ from the previous pension payments in terms of tax implications and reporting for HP Inc. employees? It is crucial for employees of HP Inc. to comprehend the tax treatment of their new annuity payments to avoid any potential pitfalls in their personal financial planning.
The annuity payments from Prudential will be taxed similarly to the previous pension payments, though employees will receive two separate 1099-R forms for 2021 (one from Fidelity and one from Prudential). For future years, only a single form will be issued. This ensures employees are aware of how to manage tax reporting(HP Inc_November 1 2021_…).
What resources are available to HP Inc. employees seeking assistance regarding their pension benefits, and how can they effectively utilize these resources to address their concerns? Knowing how to access support and guidance will empower HP Inc. employees to manage their retirement benefits proactively.
HP Inc. employees seeking assistance can access live customer support through Fidelity or contact Prudential directly after the transition. Additionally, the Welcome Kit will include important contact information for managing their benefits, making it easy for employees to address concerns(HP Inc_November 1 2021_…).
How can HP Inc. employees verify the financial health and stability of Prudential, and why is this factor important in the context of their pension benefits? Employees must ask how Prudential's financial standing influences their view of long-term pension security and what metrics or ratings they should consider.
HP Inc. employees can verify Prudential’s financial health by reviewing Prudential's annual financial reports, which are publicly available. Prudential’s strong financial ratings were a key factor in its selection, assuring employees of long-term pension security(HP Inc_November 1 2021_…).
What steps should HP Inc. employees take to update their personal information, such as banking details and tax withholding preferences, following the transition to Prudential? Understanding these processes will ensure a smooth continuation of benefits for HP Inc. employees as they adapt to the new system.
Employees do not need to re-submit their personal information to Prudential, as HP will securely transfer all necessary data, including banking and tax withholding preferences. This ensures the continuation of pension payments without the need for employee intervention(HP Inc_November 1 2021_…).
How does HP Inc. plan to address potential changes in the financial landscape that may affect pension benefits, and what role does the insurance contract with Prudential play in this context? HP Inc. employees should be informed about the company's strategic outlook and how it aims to safeguard pension assets against economic uncertainties.
HP Inc. plans to address potential financial changes through its contract with Prudential, which guarantees pension payments will remain the same. Prudential manages these risks as part of its core business, providing added security against economic volatility(HP Inc_November 1 2021_…).
In what circumstances might HP Inc. employees see changes in their net pension payments following the transition to Prudential, despite assurances that payment amounts will remain unchanged? This understanding will help employees manage their expectations regarding future payments and any adjustments they may need to make.
Employees might see changes in their net pension payments due to tax adjustments or changes in withholding instructions, but the gross payment amount will remain unchanged. Any garnishments or other deductions will continue as before, ensuring consistency in payment structure(HP Inc_November 1 2021_…).
How can HP Inc. employees contact the company directly to learn more about the pension transition process, and what channels are available for them to have their questions addressed? Clear communication lines are essential for HP Inc. employees to ensure they receive timely and relevant information regarding their pension situations.
HP Inc. employees can contact the company through the Fidelity support line or directly through Prudential for any questions about the pension transition. The Welcome Kit and other resources will provide contact details, ensuring employees have access to timely support(HP Inc_November 1 2021_…).
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