The volatility of recent markets forces us to remind Cummins Inc employees to be proactive about portfolio management,' says Michael Corgiat, a financial expert with the Retirement Group. Regular portfolio reviews and rebalancing could protect retirement savings against sudden market downturns and help you stay on track with your long-term financial goals,' he added.
With all the volatility in the markets, Cummins Inc employees need to create a resilient investment strategy, says Brent Wolf of the Retirement Group. A diversified portfolio that can ride economic cycles is essential for retirement financial security,' said Dr.
In this article we will discuss:
1. Market Volatility and Retirement Savings: Market fluctuations and how they affect retirement income challenge retirees. Factors
2. driving Market Volatility in 2021 & 2022: Exploring how the pandemic, economic policies and global events shaped market
3. changes. Strategies for Investors During Volatility: Advice on diversification and holding investment strategies during turbulent times.
Several studies suggest that extreme market volatility may be especially difficult for retirees or those approaching retirement age to recover from possible losses. According to a report in October 2021 from Fidelity Investments, market volatility could wipe out retirement savings of up to 26% for those in their 60s. That underscores the need for a diversified investment portfolio and a solid retirement plan that reflects possible market volatility.
During the extremely volatile first 100 trading days of 2022, the constituent equities of the S&P 500 continued to fall, and the benchmark index entered a bear market on June 13, 2022 - a decline of at least 20% in stock prices. The S&P 500 was down 21.8% from its January 3 peak and the tech-heavy NASDAQ, already in bear territory, was down 32.7% from its November 19, 2021 zenith.
Some investors nervous about the future of their portfolios seem to have gone defensive and sold riskier assets like growth-oriented technology stocks.
What drives market volatility? In 2021, companies throughout the US, including Cummins Inc, dealt with unpredictable demand shifts and supply shocks from the pandemic. Near zero interest rates and trillions in pandemic relief bolstered consumer spending, economic growth and record corporate profits. Profits from S&P 500 companies in 2021 were 75% higher than in 2020 and 33% higher than in 2019 - a nearly 29% total market return. (3-4)
In early 2022, however, investors feared that a planned loosening of monetary policy - meant to cool stubbornly high inflation - would choke economic growth and cause a recession. Demand, supply-chain issues and a labor shortage in the spring of 2021 drove prices up and wages went up. China's COVID-19 lockdowns impacted product supplies in the first quarter of 2022 and Russia's invasion of Ukraine pushed already high world food and fuel prices skyrocketing. May 2022 saw the fastest annual rate of increase in forty years, 8.6% (5).
The seemingly unstoppable acceleration of price increases puts pressure on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which meets June 14 and 15, to act aggressively against inflation. In May, the federal Open Market Committee raised the benchmark Federal funds rate by 0.5% (from 0.75-1.0%). That's the first half-percent increase since May 2000 and Fed forecasters expect more. (6)
High interest rate bond yields rise and higher returns from lower-risk bond investments make higher-risk stock investments less attractive. Stock investors also buy a component of a company's future cash flows that lose value in an inflationary environment. Higher financing costs may also depress the purchasing power of consumers and profits of debt-intensive businesses.
The downside of domination The S&P Information Technology Sector Index has fallen 29.2% more than the S&P 500 as a whole from its January 3 peak. Also, like most benchmarks, the S&P 500 is weighted by market capitalization - the value of a company's outstanding shares. This gives the largest companies - mostly technology - a disproportionate drag on index performance. As at May 31 the information technology sector had 27.1% of the market capitalization of the S&P 500, followed by 14.4% for health care and 11.2% for financials, the next two largest sectors. The four most valuable companies are Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet & Amazon; Nvidia is ranked ninth while Meta dropped to 11. (7)
The past few years saw tech stock gains lift the market. However, falling share prices of these companies dragged down broader stock indexes. In analyzing market data through May 17, just eight of the largest U.S. companies accounted for 46% of the 2022 losses (total return) of the S&P 500. (8)
Those famous technology companies have grown into huge multinational corporations affecting every day life. Some companies are so dominant in their fields - social media, smartphones, online search and advertising, e-commerce and cloud computing - that antitrust investigations and calls for tougher rules have been made in the US and abroad. And they do have plenty of cash on board to help them weather an economic slowdown better than their smaller rivals (8).
Takeaways for investors Stocks are often spread across the eleven S&P 500 sectors. Yet a once-diversified stock portfolio can become overly concentrated in a sector that has outperformed the market as a whole over time. TECH-sector equities posted huge total returns of about 50% for 2019, 44% for 2020 and 35% for 2021; therefore, some Cummins Inc employees and retirees may wish to rebalance if they are overexposed to this volatile sector. This involves selling some investments to buy others. Remember that the sale of investments from a taxable account may be taxed. (10)
Should you feel lost after more than five months of market volatility? our Cummins Inc clients should get perspective. Several market analysts see recent price declines as a painful but long overdue repricing of equities at overpriced valuations and a reality check from dwindling growth expectations. That ratio of forward price to earnings (P/E) ratio of S&P 500 companies fell from 23.3 at the end of 2021 to 17.8 in May 2022, closer to the 10-year average of 16.9.11-12.
It could be some time before investors can assess how the economy and corporate profits will fare with rising inflation and higher borrowing costs - and the stock market does not like uncertainty. Downward economic data and company earnings reports could fuel volatility in the months to come.
If you have a sufficiently diversified, all-weather investment strategy, sticking with it is often the best course of action amid grim headlines. When the market goes down, panic and leave it - you can't profit from its upswings. And if you still invest regularly to fund a long-term goal like retirement, a market decline could let you buy additional shares at a discount.
Stocks' return and principal value vary depending on market conditions. If sold, shares might fetch more or less than their original price. Investments that seek greater return usually involve greater risk. We recommend diversification as a risk management technique to our Cummins Inc clients. But that does not mean diversification guarantees a profit or protects against investment loss for Cummins Inc employees. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of stocks representative of the U.S. stock market in general. An unmanaged index does not represent any investment performance.
No one can own an index directly. The past does not predict future performance. The real results will differ. Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee or prevent a profit or loss. These programs involve ongoing investments in securities irrespective of price movements. Cummins Inc employees and retirees should ask themselves whether they can afford to keep buying during low and high prices. But this may be a good way for investors to get shares to fund long-term goals.
A stock market investment is like planting a tree in your backyard. Just as you choose the location, type of tree, and soil conditions for your tree, you choose your investment strategy, stocks, and market conditions. And you also need to water and fertilize your investment just as you would your tree. With patience and an investment that grows over time, you can enjoy a healthy tree that produces shade and fruit for many years to come, just as your investment can provide retirement for you and your family.
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- 7 Things to Consider Before Leaving Your Company
- How Are Workers Impacted by Inflation & Rising Interest Rates?
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Sources:
1. 'Market Volatility - Fidelity Can Help.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/misc/buffers/market-volatility.shtml .
2. Lannan, Kelly. 'Fidelity® Q3 2021 Retirement Analysis: Retirement Savers 'Stay the Course' in Spite of Stock Market Swings and Ongoing Economic Uncertainty.' Business Wire , 2021, www.businesswire.com/news/home/20211011005389/en/Fidelity%C2%AE-Q3-2021-Retirement-Analysis-Retirement-Savers-%E2%80%9CStay-the-Course%E2%80%9D-in-Spite-of-Stock-Market-Swings-and-Ongoing-Economic-Uncertainty .
3. Barry, Kevin. '401k Savers 'Stay the Course' Despite Market Volatility.' 401k Specialist Magazine , 2022, www.401kspecialistmag.com/401k-savers-stay-the-course-despite-market-volatility/ .
4. 'Retiring in a Recession, Downturn, or Period of Market Volatility? Things to Consider.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/retiring-in-a-recession .
5. 'Fidelity® Q3 2021 Retirement Analysis: Retirement Savers 'Stay the Course' in Spite of Stock Market Swings and Ongoing Economic Uncertainty.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/q3-2021-retirement-analysis .
How does Cummins determine eligibility for participation in the Cummins Pension Plan, and what are the implications for employees who temporarily leave the workforce? This inquiry should delve into the specific criteria that define an eligible employee, such as citizenship requirements and exclusions, as well as the continuation of benefits and service credit during approved leaves or breaks in service at Cummins. It would also explore the complexities surrounding vesting and how service prior to a break is credited upon re-employment at Cummins.
Eligibility and Participation in the Cummins Pension Plan: Eligibility for the Cummins Pension Plan requires being an active employee, not participating in another Cummins defined benefit pension plan, and meeting certain citizenship or residency criteria. During approved leaves of absence, employees continue to accrue service credits, ensuring continuous growth in their pension benefits. Notably, vesting occurs after three years of service, securing the employee's entitlement to pension benefits upon leaving the company. The plan handles breaks in service by allowing reemployment within 12 months to count towards vesting and benefit calculations, safeguarding employee benefits against temporary disruptions in their career with Cummins.
What are the potential benefits and limitations of the forms of distribution available under the Cummins Pension Plan, and how should employees prepare for their pension benefit election? This question requires an analysis of various forms of distributions, such as lump sums versus annuities, highlighting the financial implications of each choice, particularly in relation to the IRS rules for 2024 regarding tax treatment. Employees should also consider how their family structure (e.g., marital status, dependents) may influence their decisions when electing a distribution method.
Distribution Forms and Tax Considerations: The Cummins Pension Plan offers various distribution forms, including lump sums and annuities, each with distinct tax implications under IRS rules for 2024. Employees must consider their family structure and tax status when choosing a distribution form, as these factors influence the tax treatment and financial outcome of their pension benefits. The plan provides clear guidelines on these options, ensuring employees can make informed decisions that align with their personal and financial circumstances.
In what ways do pay credits and interest credits accrue within the Cummins Pension Plan, and how can employees gauge their potential retirement benefits over time? This question will focus on the specifics of how pay credits are calculated based on an employee's compensation and service at Cummins, as well as the impact of interest credits on the total account balance and long-term retirement planning. It will also examine how employees can track these credits through the Cummins retirement resources.
Accrual of Pay and Interest Credits: The pension benefits at Cummins accrue through pay credits based on compensation and service, along with interest credits. Employees can monitor their accumulating benefits through the Cummins retirement resources, offering transparency and planning advantages. This structured accrual method supports employees in projecting their future pension benefits and making informed decisions about their retirement timing and financial needs.
How does Cummins ensure compliance with ERISA and other regulatory standards in the management of the Cummins Pension Plan, and what rights do employees have under these regulations? This query should explore Cummins' obligations as a fiduciary in managing employee benefits and highlight the key rights of plan participants. The discussion should include access to plan documents, the process for filing claims, and the significance of ERISA protections for employees retired from Cummins.
Regulatory Compliance and Employee Rights: Cummins diligently adheres to ERISA standards in managing the pension plan, emphasizing fiduciary responsibility and ensuring participants' rights are upheld. Employees have rights to access plan documents, participate in claims and appeals processes, and are protected under ERISA from any plan-related discrimination. This regulatory compliance not only secures the integrity of their pension benefits but also reinforces the legal framework protecting participant rights.
What role does the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) play in safeguarding the retirement benefits of Cummins employees, and how does this affect the perception of the plan's reliability? This question would examine the insurance coverage provided by the PBGC, what types of benefits are guaranteed, and under what circumstances benefits may not be fully covered. Employees might analyze how this federal insurance impacts their confidence in the plan, especially in light of changing economic conditions.
Role of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC): The PBGC insures the pension benefits under the Cummins Plan, providing a safety net that enhances the reliability of these benefits. Employees covered by the plan can gain confidence in the security of their pensions, knowing that even in the face of potential plan termination, the PBGC guarantees the core benefits, subject to certain legal limits and conditions.
How does the Cummins Pension Plan interface with employees' Social Security benefits, and what should retirees consider when planning for a sustainable retirement income? This inquiry will look at the coordination of benefits under the Cummins plan with Social Security, examining how pension income might influence Social Security calculations. It would require discussions on the timing of retirement elections and how they align with Social Security claims.
Interaction with Social Security Benefits: The Cummins Pension Plan is designed to integrate smoothly with Social Security benefits, offering provisions that help plan participants optimize their total retirement income. Understanding this interaction allows employees to strategically plan their retirement age and benefit commencement, maximizing their financial stability in later life.
What are the specific procedures and deadlines that Cummins employees should follow to successfully elect a distribution from the Cummins Pension Plan upon retirement? This question will necessitate a detailed look at the steps involved in initiating a benefit distribution, including the importance of spousal consent, the timing of application submissions, and any documentation that may be required. Understanding these processes can significantly affect the financial outcomes for retirees.
Procedures and Deadlines for Electing Pension Distribution: The Cummins Pension Plan outlines specific procedures and deadlines for electing a distribution upon retirement, emphasizing the importance of timely and informed decision-making. By understanding these processes, employees can avoid delays and ensure that they receive their pension benefits in the manner that best suits their post-retirement financial plans.
What are the implications of choosing to defer pension benefits and how does the Cummins Plan accommodate employees who opt not to start their benefits at the normal retirement date? This inquiry could address the potential financial consequences of deferring benefits, including eligibility requirements for such deferral and how it aligns with IRS regulations. Employees should critically evaluate their financial situations and retirement goals, weighing the allure of continued employment against starting their retirement benefits sooner.
Deferring Pension Benefits: Employees at Cummins have the option to defer their pension benefits beyond the normal retirement date, which can influence the financial value of their benefits. The plan provides guidelines on how deferral impacts benefit calculations and distributions, assisting employees in making decisions that align with their long-term financial goals.
How can Cummins employees designating beneficiaries ensure that their wishes are respected concerning death benefits, particularly in light of recent changes in the pension landscape? This question focuses on the options available to employees for designating beneficiaries, the process for updating these designations over time, and the specific forms that need to be completed to ensure compliance with the Cummins Pension Plan. It will also discuss the impact of state and federal laws on these designations.
Designating Beneficiaries and Ensuring Compliance: The plan stipulates clear processes for designating beneficiaries for pension benefits, ensuring that employees' wishes are respected and legally documented. This is crucial for planning and securing financial provisions for survivors, reflecting the plan's comprehensive approach to retirement benefits.
How can Cummins employees contact the Cummins Retirement Benefits Service Center to obtain more information about the Cummins Pension Plan and related retirement processes? This question emphasizes the various channels through which employees can reach out to the service center, the types of queries they can address regarding the Cummins Pension Plan, and the resources available online to assist with pension-related inquiries. Employees are encouraged to take advantage of these resources to make informed decisions regarding their retirement planning.
Accessing Information and Assistance: Cummins provides multiple channels for employees to access information and assistance regarding their pension plan, including online resources and a dedicated service center. This accessibility ensures that employees can obtain detailed information and personalized support, enabling them to navigate their pension benefits effectively.
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