Market volatility remains a worry for many approaching retirement. 'Forty-five employees should conduct periodic portfolio reviews and adjustments to reflect their financial goals and risk tolerance,' says Paul Bergeron, of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement Group.
'The market conditions change and you just have to be informed and flexible.' Tyson Mavar with The Retirement Group - part of Wealth Enhancement Group - advises Allstate employees not to jump ship on short-term market moves.
In this article we will discuss:
1. Impact of Market Volatility: How market downturns are a major concern for pre-retirees and retirees - particularly women and those nearing retirement age.
2. Inflation and Interest Rates: Analyzing how recent economic developments and fiscal policies may push inflation and thus affect interest rates and investment decisions.
4. Changes in Investment Strategies: Evaluation of the transition from quantitative easing to more traditional economic measures and their impact on the market, including the role of algorithmic trading and natural market cycles.
According to a new study from Fidelity Investments, market volatility is a top concern for pre-retirees and retirees - 51% said market downturns were one of their top worries. The study also found that market volatility is a top concern for women more than men - 58% to 44% in women versus 44% in men. And those nearer retirement age worry more about market volatility than those farther away from retirement.
- Inflation Fears
A February 2 employment report showed continued stagnant wage growth, raising fears of rising inflation and interest rates. Inflation is a rise in general prices that reduces the purchasing power of money.
Expanding economic issues was a fiscal policy issue in the US. Recent tax cuts raised fears the 'fiscal stimulus' could be inflationary and raise interest rates.
The yield on 10-year Treasury bonds hit 2.88 percent on February 8 - the highest level in four years. While higher dividend yields do not necessarily hurt stock prices, they do create competition for investors' money. And so some investors might choose to invest in bonds instead of equities.
- Algorithmic Trading
A type of investment that uses computers to quickly execute large trades based on predetermined triggers to buy or sell stocks is called algorithmic trading. One estimate is that algorithmic trading comprises about fifty percent of daily S&P 500 Index activity.
Many conditions 'push the button' on buy or sell programs, but market observers say some sell programs were activated when the 10-year Treasury yield approached 3%.
- End of Easy Money.
That price decline could also signal the end of monetary easing. Recent years saw the U.S. Federal Reserve and other big global central banks adopt a quantitative easing policy of low interest rates. Quantitative easing is when central banks try to stimulate economic development by hiking interest rates. Although last fall the Federal Reserve announced the end of quantitative easing, the markets may just be beginning to feel the effects of that program end.
- Natural Market Cycles
Market corrections are part of investing. There have been 76 corrections of 5 to 10 percent, 26 pullbacks of 10 to 20 percent, eight retreats of 20 to 40 percent and three drawdowns of more than 40 percent since the end of World War II. A long-term perspective is reassuring because it reminds you that fluctuations have happened many times before.
Market moves are impossible to predict over the next few weeks but likely to remain volatile. Investment portfolios of Allstate employees and retirees must reflect their objectives, time horizon and risk tolerance. Keep in mind why you invested, stay the course and avoid overreactions.
Like weather, market volatility is variable and hard to predict. We check the forecast and prepare for different weather conditions just as regularly as investors should review and adjust their investment portfolios in response to market conditions. We can't control the weather but we can protect ourselves and our investments from market volatility. Staying informed makes us weather the storm and come out stronger on the other side.
Published on 29 January 2018, CNBC.com. The S&P 500 Composite index tracks stocks; it is an unmanaged index representative of the U.S. stock market. Performance of an index is not indicative of historical performance of an investment. Past performance does not warrant future results. No one can own an index directly. The return and principal value of stock prices will oscillate with changing market conditions. If sold, shares might fetch more or less than their original price.
It is a gamble - and Allstate employees and retirees must invest with an understanding of their own objectives, time horizon and risk appetite. Changing market conditions will change the returns and principal values of investments. Investments can fetch more or less than their original cost when sold. The opinions expressed and materials provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any security. Any corporations or stock indices mentioned are merely illustrative. Neither is it a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
Wall Street Journal 2 February 2018.
Employees and retirees of the Allstate must remember that a bond's market value changes with interest rates. Most often, old bonds appreciate as interest rates rise. Depending on whether an investor sells a bond before maturity, its value could be greater or less than the original purchase price. In case the issuer does not default, an investor holding a bond to maturity will get the interest payments due plus the original principal amounting to $600,000. Investments with a higher yield target also are more risky.
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Sources:
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'Retiring in a recession, downturn, or period of market volatility? Things to consider.' Fidelity, www.fidelity.com .
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'FID-SORP-Data Sheet-V10.' Fidelity, www.fidelity.com .
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'Navigating volatile markets.' Fidelity, sponsorcqa.fidelity.com.
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'Scenario planning | Helping with market volatility.' Fidelity, www.fidelity.com .
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'Market volatility: Investing strategies for volatile markets.' Fidelity, www.fidelity.com .
How does the Allstate Retirement Plan ensure that employees are adequately informed of their retirement benefits and options? Specifically, what resources does Allstate offer to help participants understand the complexities of their benefits, and how can employees stay updated on changes to the Allstate Retirement Plan?
Allstate Retirement Plan resources: Allstate provides resources through its website AllstateGoodLife.com, where employees can model different pension scenarios, compare benefit estimates, and request pension statements. Employees are also encouraged to contact the Allstate Benefits Center for personalized support. Regular updates about the plan, including changes in compensation and interest credits, ensure participants stay informed(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…).
In what ways does the Allstate Retirement Plan accommodate employees who might need to take a leave of absence due to military duty? Discuss how the plan's provisions align with federal regulations and the protections offered to ensure that employees do not lose accrued benefits during such leaves.
Military leave accommodations: The Allstate Retirement Plan adheres to the Uniformed Services Employment and Reemployment Rights Act (USERRA), ensuring that employees on military leave continue to accrue benefits and vesting service under the plan. Interest credits will continue to be added to their accounts during the leave(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…).
What factors determine the calculation of the Cash Balance Benefit under the Allstate Retirement Plan? Detail how annual compensation is integrated into benefit calculations, and what limitations exist concerning eligible compensation for retirement benefits.
Cash Balance Benefit calculation: The Cash Balance Benefit is based on pay credits and interest credits. Pay credits depend on the employee’s years of vesting service, and are calculated as a percentage of their annual compensation. Annual compensation includes salary, bonuses, and certain paid leave, but excludes severance payments and certain awards. The benefit is subject to IRS limits(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…).
Can you explain the differences between the Final Average Pay Benefit and the Cash Balance Benefit as part of the Allstate Retirement Plan? Discuss how benefits are accrued under each formula and the implications for employees transitioning between plans.
Final Average Pay vs. Cash Balance Benefit: The Final Average Pay Benefit was frozen as of December 31, 2013, for participants, while the Cash Balance Benefit is an ongoing accrual based on eligible annual compensation and interest credits. Employees with preserved Final Average Pay Benefits can receive both this benefit and a Cash Balance Benefit, creating a dual structure for those transitioning between plans(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…).
What options do Allstate employees have for designating beneficiaries under the Retirement Plan, and how do these choices impact the benefits received by the designated individuals? Discuss the procedures for updating beneficiary designations and the importance of keeping this information current.
Beneficiary designations: Employees can designate beneficiaries for their Cash Balance and Final Average Pay Benefits through AllstateGoodLife.com. It is crucial to update beneficiary designations after significant life events such as marriage, as spousal consent is required for naming someone other than the spouse. Keeping this information current ensures smooth benefit distribution(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…).
How does the Allstate Retirement Plan define and measure Vesting Service, and why is it critical for employees to understand this definition? Explain the implications of Vesting Service on eligibility for benefits and the calculations involved in determining retirement pay.
Vesting Service definition: Vesting Service is used to determine eligibility for benefits and is based on the total years of service with Allstate, including military leave and breaks in service under certain conditions. Employees must understand this concept, as vesting impacts their eligibility to receive retirement benefits, generally after three years of service(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…).
What steps must Allstate employees follow to commence payment of their retirement benefits when they reach eligibility? Outline the necessary paperwork and timelines involved, as well as how timely submissions can affect payout dates.
Commencing retirement benefits: To commence payment of retirement benefits, employees must notify the Allstate Benefits Center 30 to 60 days prior to their selected Payment Start Date. This process involves submitting paperwork via the website or phone, with the payment date starting on the first day of the month(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…)(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…).
How do the provisions of the Allstate Retirement Plan address scenarios where an employee transitions to independent contractor status? Discuss the impact of this transition on their previously accrued benefits and any applicable rules that pertain to their retirement planning.
Transition to independent contractor status: Independent contractors are generally not eligible for the Allstate Retirement Plan. However, employees who previously accrued benefits under the plan before transitioning to contractor status will retain those benefits, but no further credits will accrue during their time as a contractor(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…).
How are employees of Allstate notified of their rights under ERISA, and what resources are available for participants who believe their rights have been violated? Discuss the role of the Administrative Committee in safeguarding participant rights and ensuring compliance with federal regulations.
ERISA rights and resources: Employees are informed of their rights under ERISA through plan documents and can contact the Allstate Benefits Center for assistance. The Administrative Committee ensures compliance with ERISA and oversees participant rights, including providing resources for claims and disputes(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…).
How can employees contact Allstate to learn more about their retirement benefits detailed in the Allstate Retirement Plan? Include specifics on the best methods for reaching out, including contact numbers and online resources available to employees for additional assistance.
Contacting Allstate for retirement plan information: Employees can contact Allstate through the Allstate Benefits Center at (888) 255-7772 or online at AllstateGoodLife.com. The website provides access to pension estimates, beneficiary management, and retirement planning tools(Allstate_Retirement_Pla…).
Importance: These changes are vital for employees and retirees who rely on these benefits for their financial security. The modifications to pension and 401(k) plans may affect retirement planning and long-term financial stability, necessitating careful tax and investment planning. Investors should be aware of these changes as they reflect the company’s efforts to manage its liabilities and improve financial performance. Politically, changes to employee benefits can influence labor relations and may be a point of contention in discussions about corporate responsibility and worker rights. | | Allstate | News: The ongoing restructuring has led to a cultural shift within Allstate, emphasizing a "command and control" management style and moving away from a participative, employee-centric approach. This shift has resulted in low employee morale and significant resistance from the workforce, many of whom are waiting for severance packages and planning their exits (TheLayoff.com) (TheLayoff.com).
Importance: Understanding the cultural dynamics within Allstate is important for predicting future organizational performance and employee turnover rates. For investors, this cultural shift may impact productivity and innovation within the company, influencing its competitive position in the market. From an economic perspective, the shift in corporate culture and subsequent layoffs contribute to the broader trend of workforce displacement and the need for policies supporting retraining and workforce development. Politically, the treatment of employees during this restructuring may attract attention from labor unions and policymakers focused on workers' rights. |